Kay County vs. Oklahoma
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Population Growth and Change, 1969-2022
Introduction
Kay County vs. Oklahoma
Kay County:
2022 Population = 43,668
2022 Percent of State = 1.09%
Oklahoma:
2022 Population = 4,019,800
2022 Percent of U.S. = 1.21%
Attracting and retaining people to live, work, raise a family, and retire underlies the economic vitality of any region. Population growth is both a cause--and a consequence--of economic growth. Patterns of population growth and change reflect differences among regions to attract and retain people both as producers and consumers in their economy.
The following graphs offer a broad overview of trends in the pattern of population growth and change of Kay County with comparisons to Oklahoma and the nation at large. This analysis features alternative approaches toward discussing, diagnosing and comparing Kay County vs. Oklahoma's population growth over 1969-2022. The data used are those compiled by the Regional Income and Product Divisions of the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce.
Population, 1969-2022
Population, 1969-2022
Figure 1.
Figure 1 traces Kay County's annual population for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Kay County's population dropped from 48,344 in 1969 to 43,668 in 2022, for a net loss of -4,676, or -9.67%.
NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities.
Population, 1969-2022
Population, 1969-2022
Figure 2.
Figure 2 tracks Oklahoma's annual population for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Oklahoma's population rose from 2,535,000 in 1969 to 4,019,800 in 2022, for a net gain of 1,484,800, or 58.57%.
NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities.
Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2022
Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2022
Figure 3.
Figure 3 portrays Kay County's population growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with Oklahoma, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's population in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the populations in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in population growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Kay County's overall population growth was -9.67% over 1969-2022 trailed Oklahoma's increase of 58.57%, and fell below the United States' increase of 65.57%.
Population as a Percent of the Oklahoma Total: 1969-2022
Population as a Percent of the Oklahoma Total: 1969-2022
Figure 4.
Another interesting and insightful way of highlighting the population growth of Kay County is to compare its individual percentage contributions to Oklahoma's statewide population over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's population grew faster, or declined less, than Oklahoma's population, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly.
In 1969, Kay County's population comprised 1.91% of Oklahoma's population, while in 2022 it totaled 1.09% thereby yielding a -0.82% share-shift.
   
 
Population Share-Shift
2022 vs. 1969
 
Share-
Shift*
 
2022
vs.
1969
-0.82%
=
1.09%
-
1.91%
 
   
Kay County Population:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2022
Kay County Population:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2022
Figure 5.
Figure 5 shows the short-run pattern of Kay County's population growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2022. The average annual percent change for the entire 53-year period is also illustrated on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Kay County's population contracted at an annual rate of -0.19% over 1970-2022. The county recorded its highest growth in 1982 (2.64%) and posted its lowest growth in 1988 (-2.73%). In 2022, Kay County's population declined by -0.13%
Kay County Population:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2022
Kay County Population:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2022
Figure 6.
Over the past five decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again shows the annual percent change in Kay County's population since 1970, but this time they are displayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, 2010s, and 2020-2022.
During the 1970s, Kay County's annual population growth rate averaged 0.19%. It averaged -0.14% in the 1980s, -0.03% in the 1990s, -0.32% throughout the 2000s, -0.64% in the 2010s, -0.19% thus far this decade (2020-2022).
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Kay County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for Oklahoma and the nation. As the chart reveals, Kay County's average annual population growth recorded under Oklahoma's average throughout the 1970s (0.19% vs. 1.60%), lagged Oklahoma's average during the 1980s (-0.14% vs. 0.61%), recorded under Oklahoma's average during the 1990s (-0.03% vs. 0.88%), fell below Oklahoma's average throughout the 2000s (-0.32% vs. 0.79%), amounted to less than Oklahoma's average in the 2010s (-0.64% vs. 0.59%), and trailed Oklahoma's average over the 3 year period of the current decade, 2020-2022 (-0.19% vs. 0.64%).
Finally, relative to nationwide population growth trends, Kay County fell under the nation during the 1970s (0.19% vs. 1.10%), recorded underneath the nation throughout the 1980s (-0.14% vs. 0.95%), fell below the nation over the 1990s (-0.03% vs. 1.23%), trailed the nation throughout the 2000s (-0.32% vs. 0.95%), fell under the nation during the 2010s (-0.64% vs. 0.74%), and trailed the nation over 2020-2022 (-0.19% vs. 0.31%).
   
 
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
-0.19
0.19
-0.14
-0.03
-0.32
-0.64
-0.19
-0.13
 
0.88
1.60
0.61
0.88
0.79
0.59
0.64
0.72
 
0.96
1.10
0.95
1.23
0.95
0.74
0.31
0.38
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Kay County:
Population, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
48,344
100.0
N
1.91
1970
 
48,773
100.9
0.89
1.90
1971
 
48,923
101.2
0.31
1.87
1972
 
48,436
100.2
-1.00
1.82
1973
 
48,450
100.2
0.03
1.80
1974
 
47,778
98.8
-1.39
1.75
1975
 
48,231
99.8
0.95
1.74
1976
 
49,099
101.6
1.80
1.74
1977
 
49,403
102.2
0.62
1.72
1978
 
49,554
102.5
0.31
1.70
1979
 
49,253
101.9
-0.61
1.66
1980
 
50,078
103.6
1.68
1.65
1981
 
50,891
105.3
1.62
1.64
1982
 
52,236
108.1
2.64
1.63
1983
 
53,113
109.9
1.68
1.61
1984
 
52,520
108.6
-1.12
1.60
1985
 
51,627
106.8
-1.70
1.58
1986
 
50,891
105.3
-1.43
1.56
1987
 
50,143
103.7
-1.47
1.56
1988
 
48,775
100.9
-2.73
1.54
1989
 
48,494
100.3
-0.58
1.54
1990
 
48,029
99.3
-0.96
1.53
1991
 
48,321
100.0
0.61
1.52
1992
 
49,060
101.5
1.53
1.52
1993
 
48,992
101.3
-0.14
1.51
1994
 
48,591
100.5
-0.82
1.48
1995
 
48,659
100.7
0.14
1.47
1996
 
48,463
100.2
-0.40
1.45
1997
 
48,295
99.9
-0.35
1.43
1998
 
48,311
99.9
0.03
1.42
1999
 
48,360
100.0
0.10
1.41
2000
 
47,954
99.2
-0.84
1.39
2001
 
47,518
98.3
-0.91
1.37
2002
 
47,686
98.6
0.35
1.37
2003
 
47,363
98.0
-0.68
1.35
2004
 
46,903
97.0
-0.97
1.33
2005
 
46,469
96.1
-0.93
1.31
2006
 
46,220
95.6
-0.54
1.29
2007
 
46,461
96.1
0.52
1.28
2008
 
46,410
96.0
-0.11
1.26
2009
 
46,814
96.8
0.87
1.26
2010
 
46,436
96.1
-0.81
1.24
2011
 
45,891
94.9
-1.17
1.21
2012
 
45,763
94.7
-0.28
1.20
2013
 
45,653
94.4
-0.24
1.19
2014
 
45,603
94.3
-0.11
1.18
2015
 
45,415
93.9
-0.41
1.16
2016
 
45,116
93.3
-0.66
1.15
2017
 
44,648
92.4
-1.04
1.14
2018
 
44,273
91.6
-0.84
1.13
2019
 
43,915
90.8
-0.81
1.11
2020
 
43,609
90.2
-0.70
1.10
2021
 
43,724
90.4
0.26
1.10
2022
 
43,668
90.3
-0.13
1.09
Source: Calculations by the Oklahoma Regional Economic Analysis Project (OK-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Oklahoma:
Population, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
2,535,000
100.0
N
1.26
1970
 
2,566,485
101.2
1.24
1.26
1971
 
2,617,944
103.3
2.01
1.27
1972
 
2,657,448
104.8
1.51
1.27
1973
 
2,694,182
106.3
1.38
1.27
1974
 
2,732,454
107.8
1.42
1.28
1975
 
2,771,858
109.3
1.44
1.29
1976
 
2,823,396
111.4
1.86
1.30
1977
 
2,865,935
113.1
1.51
1.30
1978
 
2,913,056
114.9
1.64
1.31
1979
 
2,970,080
117.2
1.96
1.32
1980
 
3,040,758
120.0
2.38
1.34
1981
 
3,096,159
122.1
1.82
1.35
1982
 
3,206,129
126.5
3.55
1.38
1983
 
3,290,404
129.8
2.63
1.41
1984
 
3,285,535
129.6
-0.15
1.39
1985
 
3,271,333
129.0
-0.43
1.37
1986
 
3,252,735
128.3
-0.57
1.35
1987
 
3,210,124
126.6
-1.31
1.32
1988
 
3,167,064
124.9
-1.34
1.30
1989
 
3,150,304
124.3
-0.53
1.28
1990
 
3,148,825
124.2
-0.05
1.26
1991
 
3,175,440
125.3
0.85
1.26
1992
 
3,220,517
127.0
1.42
1.26
1993
 
3,252,285
128.3
0.99
1.25
1994
 
3,280,940
129.4
0.88
1.25
1995
 
3,308,208
130.5
0.83
1.24
1996
 
3,340,129
131.8
0.96
1.24
1997
 
3,372,917
133.1
0.98
1.24
1998
 
3,405,194
134.3
0.96
1.23
1999
 
3,437,147
135.6
0.94
1.23
2000
 
3,454,365
136.3
0.50
1.22
2001
 
3,467,100
136.8
0.37
1.22
2002
 
3,489,080
137.6
0.63
1.21
2003
 
3,504,892
138.3
0.45
1.21
2004
 
3,525,233
139.1
0.58
1.20
2005
 
3,548,597
140.0
0.66
1.20
2006
 
3,594,090
141.8
1.28
1.20
2007
 
3,634,349
143.4
1.12
1.21
2008
 
3,668,976
144.7
0.95
1.21
2009
 
3,717,572
146.6
1.32
1.21
2010
 
3,759,581
148.3
1.13
1.22
2011
 
3,786,640
149.4
0.72
1.21
2012
 
3,815,353
150.5
0.76
1.21
2013
 
3,848,112
151.8
0.86
1.21
2014
 
3,871,583
152.7
0.61
1.21
2015
 
3,901,051
153.9
0.76
1.21
2016
 
3,916,821
154.5
0.40
1.21
2017
 
3,920,455
154.7
0.09
1.20
2018
 
3,928,494
155.0
0.21
1.20
2019
 
3,943,796
155.6
0.39
1.19
2020
 
3,964,912
156.4
0.54
1.20
2021
 
3,991,225
157.4
0.66
1.20
2022
 
4,019,800
158.6
0.72
1.21
Source: Calculations by the Oklahoma Regional Economic Analysis Project (OK-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Population, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
201,298,000
100.0
N
1970
 
203,798,722
101.2
1.24
1971
 
206,817,509
102.7
1.48
1972
 
209,274,882
104.0
1.19
1973
 
211,349,205
105.0
0.99
1974
 
213,333,635
106.0
0.94
1975
 
215,456,585
107.0
1.00
1976
 
217,553,859
108.1
0.97
1977
 
219,760,875
109.2
1.01
1978
 
222,098,244
110.3
1.06
1979
 
224,568,579
111.6
1.11
1980
 
227,224,719
112.9
1.18
1981
 
229,465,744
114.0
0.99
1982
 
231,664,432
115.1
0.96
1983
 
233,792,014
116.1
0.92
1984
 
235,824,907
117.2
0.87
1985
 
237,923,734
118.2
0.89
1986
 
240,132,831
119.3
0.93
1987
 
242,288,936
120.4
0.90
1988
 
244,499,004
121.5
0.91
1989
 
246,819,222
122.6
0.95
1990
 
249,622,814
124.0
1.14
1991
 
252,980,941
125.7
1.35
1992
 
256,514,224
127.4
1.40
1993
 
259,918,588
129.1
1.33
1994
 
263,125,821
130.7
1.23
1995
 
266,278,393
132.3
1.20
1996
 
269,394,284
133.8
1.17
1997
 
272,646,925
135.4
1.21
1998
 
275,854,104
137.0
1.18
1999
 
279,040,168
138.6
1.15
2000
 
282,162,411
140.2
1.12
2001
 
284,968,955
141.6
0.99
2002
 
287,625,193
142.9
0.93
2003
 
290,107,933
144.1
0.86
2004
 
292,805,298
145.5
0.93
2005
 
295,516,599
146.8
0.93
2006
 
298,379,912
148.2
0.97
2007
 
301,231,207
149.6
0.96
2008
 
304,093,966
151.1
0.95
2009
 
306,771,529
152.4
0.88
2010
 
309,378,433
153.7
0.85
2011
 
311,841,632
154.9
0.80
2012
 
314,344,331
156.2
0.80
2013
 
316,735,375
157.3
0.76
2014
 
319,270,047
158.6
0.80
2015
 
321,829,327
159.9
0.80
2016
 
324,367,742
161.1
0.79
2017
 
326,623,063
162.3
0.70
2018
 
328,542,157
163.2
0.59
2019
 
330,233,102
164.1
0.51
2020
 
331,511,512
164.7
0.39
2021
 
332,031,554
164.9
0.16
2022
 
333,287,557
165.6
0.38
Source: Calculations by the Oklahoma Regional Economic Analysis Project (OK-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PN
 
   
Copyright © 2024. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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