Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Manufacturing Earnings Growth
Across Oklahoma Counties
Real* Manufacturing
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Manufacturing
Earnings Growth
Oklahoma:
2010-2022 = 2.21%
2022 = 12.65%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real manufacturing earnings growth across all of Oklahoma's 77 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Oklahoma Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real manufacturing earnings growth of Oklahoma's 77 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Manufacturing
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Manufacturing
Earnings Growth
Oklahoma:
2010-2022 = 2.21%
2022 = 12.65%
This figure displays the 77 counties of Oklahoma as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real manufacturing earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real manufacturing earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real manufacturing earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 2.21%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 2.21% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real manufacturing earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (2.21%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 46 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 13 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 23 counties whose most recent (2022) real manufacturing earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (12.65%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 36 counties whose real manufacturing earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 77 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 2.21% over 2010-2022 and 12.65% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real manufacturing earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (2.21%) and near-term (12.65%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real manufacturing earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.21%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Oklahoma average (12.65%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real manufacturing earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (2.21%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (12.65%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real manufacturing earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (2.21%) and near-term (12.65%).
   
 
Summary of Oklahoma's 77 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(12.65%)
Above
(12.65%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(2.21%)
26
20
46
Below
(2.21%)
10
3
13
 
36
23
59
 
   
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Oklahoma:
2010-2022 = 2.21%
2022 = 12.65%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 10 Oklahoma counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real manufacturing earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.21%) as well as near-term (2022 = 12.65%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real manufacturing earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
13% of Oklahoma's counties, 10 of 77, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Oklahoma
Real* Manufacturing Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
43
2.92
 
23
16.04
83,693
 
13
7.30
 
15
20.40
8,380
 
7
9.72
 
22
16.20
122,312
 
11
8.80
 
17
19.42
6,088
 
27
4.73
 
25
15.12
306,842
 
25
4.87
 
4
48.42
43,409
 
39
3.50
 
16
20.13
182,127
 
19
6.02
 
14
20.43
31,959
 
2
21.47
 
2
143.45
86,207
 
18
6.25
 
9
28.61
7,625
 
8
9.66
 
18
18.63
150,484
 
4
13.83
 
24
15.21
35,135
 
46
2.33
 
20
16.45
19,134
 
15
6.87
 
28
12.92
11,301
 
31
4.04
 
13
24.95
47,196
 
26
4.79
 
26
13.92
110,111
 
5
13.56
 
12
25.09
23,550
 
37
3.71
 
8
29.04
163,237
 
1
26.38
 
1
158.21
336,871
 
10
9.23
 
7
31.58
7,163
Slipping Counties
 
14
7.16
 
29
12.20
47,718
 
29
4.31
 
43
7.45
286,389
 
40
3.36
 
46
7.04
288,027
 
21
5.67
 
62
-0.50
14,041
 
32
4.03
 
66
-6.80
6,102
 
9
9.27
 
44
7.36
4,568
 
44
2.80
 
54
2.61
337,124
 
34
3.96
 
52
3.54
312,415
 
20
5.77
 
38
9.05
7,498
 
42
3.17
 
60
1.67
179,337
 
23
4.90
 
48
6.37
120,328
 
45
2.74
 
55
2.35
94,204
 
28
4.33
 
53
2.84
10,961
 
41
3.34
 
49
4.79
28,497
 
16
6.83
 
32
11.28
54,180
 
30
4.25
 
37
9.44
41,538
 
17
6.55
 
56
2.04
201,405
 
3
14.63
 
61
0.65
4,037
 
33
4.01
 
33
11.25
229,761
 
35
3.89
 
30
11.66
2,338,944
 
24
4.88
 
40
8.34
105,156
 
6
10.86
 
41
7.56
16,619
 
36
3.88
 
45
7.11
76,723
 
12
7.42
 
51
4.35
133,220
 
38
3.58
 
59
1.72
6,856
 
22
4.96
 
34
11.11
53,131
Gaining Counties
 
58
-2.72
 
11
26.86
12,716
 
57
-1.24
 
21
16.41
16,175
 
54
-0.42
 
19
17.78
63,393
Lagging Counties
 
55
-0.47
 
58
1.89
57,774
 
47
1.95
 
67
-16.08
49,949
 
53
0.22
 
36
9.80
246,786
 
52
1.19
 
47
6.95
97,938
 
50
1.39
 
39
8.43
6,613
 
56
-0.65
 
64
-3.70
112,727
 
59
-5.03
 
65
-4.02
52,031
 
51
1.39
 
57
1.96
164,543
 
48
1.89
 
35
10.45
392,797
 
49
1.40
 
31
11.41
3,387,284
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
50
4.50
1,858
 
U
U
 
5
37.84
3,344
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
6
36.49
2,764
 
U
U
 
S
S
1,736
 
U
U
 
S
S
1,017
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
63
-1.16
171
 
U
U
 
42
7.53
6,584
 
U
U
 
27
13.50
1,026
 
U
U
 
3
77.16
1,637
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
10
27.44
5,992
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
310
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.21
 
12.65
11,870,268
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.42
 
7.61
1,335,947,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_610500_LSGL
 
   
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