Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Earnings Growth
Across Oklahoma Counties
Real* Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Earnings Growth
Oklahoma:
2010-2022 = 5.69%
2022 = 11.72%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth across all of Oklahoma's 77 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Oklahoma Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth of Oklahoma's 77 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Earnings Growth
Oklahoma:
2010-2022 = 5.69%
2022 = 11.72%
This figure displays the 77 counties of Oklahoma as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 5.69%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 5.69% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (5.69%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 30 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 15 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 27 counties whose most recent (2022) real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (11.72%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 18 counties whose real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 77 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 5.69% over 2010-2022 and 11.72% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (5.69%) and near-term (11.72%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (5.69%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Oklahoma average (11.72%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (5.69%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (11.72%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (5.69%) and near-term (11.72%).
   
 
Summary of Oklahoma's 77 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(11.72%)
Above
(11.72%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(5.69%)
11
19
30
Below
(5.69%)
7
8
15
 
18
27
45
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Oklahoma:
2010-2022 = 5.69%
2022 = 11.72%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Oklahoma counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Oklahoma's average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 5.69%) as well as near-term (2022 = 11.72%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Oklahoma's 77 counties, 19 (25%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Oklahoma:
2010-2022 = 5.69%
2022 = 11.72%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 11 Oklahoma counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 5.69%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 11.72%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 11 (14%) of Oklahoma's 77 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Oklahoma:
2010-2022 = 5.69%
2022 = 11.72%
This figure shows the distribution of the 8 Oklahoma counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 5.69%), while they outpaced Oklahoma's average near-term (2022 = 11.72%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Oklahoma's 77 counties, only 10% (8) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Oklahoma:
2010-2022 = 5.69%
2022 = 11.72%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 7 Oklahoma counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 5.69%) as well as near-term (2022 = 11.72%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
9% of Oklahoma's counties, 7 of 77, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Oklahoma
Real* Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
1
106.46
 
3
22.76
4,871
 
9
19.19
 
19
14.40
27,782
 
20
11.83
 
4
20.52
93,602
 
30
6.25
 
13
15.04
82,561
 
24
7.59
 
17
14.69
23,526
 
5
26.33
 
24
13.69
30,837
 
27
6.87
 
33
12.08
35,416
 
10
18.66
 
26
13.38
23,051
 
16
13.98
 
18
14.51
21,928
 
11
18.65
 
6
17.36
7,647
 
4
27.13
 
12
15.18
21,710
 
12
16.70
 
22
13.95
16,558
 
14
14.60
 
30
12.34
17,076
 
18
12.56
 
9
16.10
111,837
 
29
6.50
 
7
16.76
24,562
 
13
15.95
 
23
13.70
4,755
 
22
10.86
 
8
16.37
30,303
 
7
20.99
 
25
13.69
42,365
 
15
14.11
 
20
14.28
9,475
Slipping Counties
 
19
12.14
 
43
10.29
27,772
 
21
11.14
 
40
10.78
313,686
 
2
31.50
 
39
11.13
16,688
 
28
6.64
 
48
7.08
7,776
 
25
7.09
 
38
11.37
9,567
 
6
21.99
 
37
11.44
29,023
 
3
29.03
 
42
10.45
3,571
 
26
7.00
 
41
10.62
39,380
 
8
19.56
 
55
-2.51
4,002
 
17
12.72
 
45
9.53
43,897
 
23
10.21
 
53
2.53
14,795
Gaining Counties
 
45
-2.64
 
1
32.89
15,007
 
41
2.71
 
34
11.93
4,419
 
34
4.86
 
5
19.81
19,964
 
44
-0.46
 
2
23.32
7,637
 
35
4.02
 
31
12.25
808,085
 
42
2.29
 
21
14.26
27,925
 
33
4.88
 
32
12.13
24,004
 
39
3.40
 
29
12.50
14,798
Lagging Counties
 
40
2.73
 
54
2.12
34,147
 
38
3.45
 
44
9.67
53,814
 
32
5.20
 
36
11.55
22,315
 
36
4.00
 
47
7.68
1,920
 
43
2.03
 
51
3.99
22,915
 
37
3.63
 
49
6.34
3,957
 
31
5.46
 
46
9.08
702,397
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
558
 
U
U
 
11
15.32
7,097
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
50
6.08
2,006
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
15
14.80
1,722
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
35
11.91
451
 
U
U
 
14
14.83
1,820
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
16
14.80
1,831
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
10
15.77
13,740
 
U
U
 
S
S
370
 
U
U
 
27
13.24
4,575
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
5,405
 
U
U
 
52
3.84
3,733
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
28
13.10
4,230
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
5.69
 
11.72
2,995,085
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
8.71
 
1.66
389,364,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_611100_LSGL
 
   
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