Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Local Government Employment Growth
Across Oklahoma Counties
Local Government
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Local Government
Employment Growth
Oklahoma:
2010-2022 = 0.14%
2022 = 2.38%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of local government employment growth across all of Oklahoma's 77 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Oklahoma Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the local government employment growth of Oklahoma's 77 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Local Government
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Local Government
Employment Growth
Oklahoma:
2010-2022 = 0.14%
2022 = 2.38%
This figure displays the 77 counties of Oklahoma as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual local government employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the local government employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term local government employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 0.14%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 0.14% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual local government employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (0.14%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 24 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 46 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 30 counties whose most recent (2022) local government employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.38%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 40 counties whose local government employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 77 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 0.14% over 2010-2022 and 2.38% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual local government employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (0.14%) and near-term (2.38%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual local government employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.14%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Oklahoma average (2.38%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual local government employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (0.14%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (2.38%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual local government employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (0.14%) and near-term (2.38%).
   
 
Summary of Oklahoma's 77 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(2.38%)
Above
(2.38%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(0.14%)
9
15
24
Below
(0.14%)
31
15
46
 
40
30
70
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Oklahoma:
2010-2022 = 0.14%
2022 = 2.38%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Oklahoma counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Oklahoma's average annual local government employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.14%) as well as near-term (2022 = 2.38%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual local government employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Oklahoma's 77 counties, 15 (19%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Oklahoma:
2010-2022 = 0.14%
2022 = 2.38%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 9 Oklahoma counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual local government employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.14%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 2.38%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual local government employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 9 (12%) of Oklahoma's 77 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Oklahoma:
2010-2022 = 0.14%
2022 = 2.38%
This figure shows the distribution of the 15 Oklahoma counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual local government employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.14%), while they outpaced Oklahoma's average near-term (2022 = 2.38%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual local government employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Oklahoma's 77 counties, 19% (15) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Oklahoma:
2010-2022 = 0.14%
2022 = 2.38%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 31 Oklahoma counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual local government employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.14%) as well as near-term (2022 = 2.38%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual local government employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
40% of Oklahoma's counties, 31 of 77, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Oklahoma
Local Government Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
15
0.62
 
8
5.88
936
 
1
5.43
 
2
9.92
8,591
 
22
0.20
 
12
5.32
2,278
 
8
1.46
 
4
6.38
5,865
 
6
1.49
 
26
3.54
7,842
 
11
1.13
 
17
4.91
1,624
 
13
0.87
 
24
3.85
378
 
14
0.65
 
1
10.88
632
 
21
0.24
 
27
3.50
4,166
 
10
1.13
 
6
6.07
1,888
 
17
0.52
 
22
4.15
2,382
 
18
0.39
 
16
4.97
3,424
 
2
2.85
 
8
5.88
2,394
 
24
0.14
 
18
4.81
4,685
 
16
0.52
 
19
4.49
3,281
Slipping Counties
 
9
1.23
 
66
-0.85
349
 
12
0.91
 
33
2.20
12,566
 
4
1.62
 
62
-0.24
413
 
5
1.55
 
52
0.83
974
 
7
1.47
 
38
1.66
797
 
19
0.38
 
51
0.85
473
 
3
2.19
 
39
1.66
6,928
 
20
0.27
 
64
-0.30
5,256
 
23
0.16
 
43
1.41
4,592
Gaining Counties
 
69
-3.08
 
11
5.46
1,004
 
49
-0.64
 
7
5.96
995
 
45
-0.60
 
32
2.54
2,301
 
61
-1.49
 
13
5.25
1,262
 
36
-0.22
 
14
5.21
2,162
 
54
-1.04
 
15
5.19
608
 
66
-2.25
 
8
5.88
486
 
38
-0.28
 
31
2.58
995
 
27
0.08
 
25
3.62
1,861
 
31
-0.12
 
30
2.77
26,788
 
26
0.10
 
5
6.36
819
 
28
0.07
 
28
3.18
746
 
70
-3.18
 
3
8.96
377
 
55
-1.06
 
29
3.13
1,349
 
56
-1.10
 
20
4.47
2,009
Lagging Counties
 
62
-1.49
 
71
-6.52
387
 
34
-0.16
 
61
-0.22
895
 
58
-1.19
 
37
1.73
646
 
41
-0.32
 
65
-0.83
2,517
 
43
-0.39
 
35
2.10
7,911
 
67
-2.26
 
53
0.78
777
 
42
-0.37
 
47
1.12
2,701
 
25
0.13
 
55
0.58
1,393
 
37
-0.26
 
54
0.74
410
 
29
-0.03
 
44
1.18
2,572
 
35
-0.17
 
58
0.33
304
 
39
-0.28
 
68
-1.86
844
 
47
-0.63
 
45
1.16
1,919
 
40
-0.30
 
36
2.02
3,789
 
68
-2.27
 
70
-3.11
499
 
60
-1.43
 
49
0.95
1,480
 
65
-2.04
 
40
1.58
962
 
33
-0.16
 
73
-8.34
2,560
 
63
-1.60
 
67
-1.23
322
 
52
-0.96
 
63
-0.26
1,955
 
51
-0.96
 
42
1.55
4,388
 
64
-1.83
 
50
0.94
966
 
46
-0.61
 
41
1.58
838
 
53
-0.97
 
56
0.50
1,407
 
57
-1.15
 
34
2.11
2,520
 
48
-0.64
 
46
1.12
1,800
 
32
-0.15
 
57
0.48
1,259
 
44
-0.40
 
60
-0.12
26,009
 
59
-1.32
 
59
0.32
620
 
50
-0.74
 
72
-7.27
689
 
30
-0.04
 
48
1.07
948
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
21
4.39
214
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
23
3.92
265
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
69
-2.57
265
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.14
 
2.38
209,361
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-0.11
 
1.96
14,130,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_520320_LSGL
 
   
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